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Author: Subject: Weekend Weather Forecast - September 10, 11, and 12th, 2010 - Poker Run Weekend - UPDATE #1.
squakmeister
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[*] posted on 9-8-2010 at 08:05 PM
Weekend Weather Forecast - September 10, 11, and 12th, 2010 - Poker Run Weekend - UPDATE #1.


In as few words as possible:
Rain Friday and Saturday. Rain ending Sunday.

From the Storm Prediction Center:
Nothing

The NWS in Louisville is saying:
An approaching Warm Front COMBINED WITH REMNANT MOISTURE FROM HERMINE WILL
BEGIN TO INTERACT together AND COULD MAKE IT INTO OUR REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING.
Behind The Warm Front, a Cold Front will push additional heavy moisture into the region. We should
expect LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

The COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS which should END FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY SUNDAY with sunny skies
to follow the remainder of the weekend.

Overall rainfall totals from the 8 PM EDT Friday to 8 PM EDT Saturday evening time frame look to
range from .5 to .75 INCHES with heavier amounts associated with thunderstorm activity.
(See map below)


The Detailed Forecast looks like this:

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind around 6 mph. New rainfall amounts between a
tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near
86. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in
thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low
around 65.

Sunday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 84.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60.


Currently at Lake Cumberland:
- Water Level is 683.78 Feet - Down 0.46 inches in the last 24 hrs.
- Water Temperature at State Dock is 82.3°F.

From the U.S. Naval Observatory for Jamestown, Kentucky - Saturday, September 11, 2010
Sunrise - 6:19 a.m. CDT
Sunset - 6:54 p.m. CDT

Moonset - 8:01 p.m. CDT (on preceding day - Friday Evening)
Moonrise - 10:11 a.m. CDT (Saturday Morning)
Moonset - 8:39 p.m. CDT (Saturday Evening)
Moonrise - 11:21 a.m. CDT (Sunday Morning)

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E_HILLMAN
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[*] posted on 9-8-2010 at 08:16 PM


Squak if we get angry with you and blame you for the rain will it make it go away for Saturday?



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squakmeister
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[*] posted on 9-8-2010 at 08:38 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by E_HILLMAN
Squak if we get angry with you and blame you for the rain will it make it go away for Saturday?


Probably, but you folks are sure hard on the messengers around here. :P :P :P
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[*] posted on 9-8-2010 at 10:17 PM


what i'm seeing is a 50-60 % chance that it will NOT rain......just sayin'! :P



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[*] posted on 9-8-2010 at 10:27 PM


A little rain wont hurt anything. Now lighting is another story. I still think we will end up having decent weather for Sat. afternoon. God loves a good show too....
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squakmeister
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[*] posted on 9-9-2010 at 05:24 PM
UPDATE #1.


Question:
So if it is going to rain, how much is it going to rain and when ?

Answer:
Referring to the current (HPC) rain forecast charts (see picture below), between:

- 8 PM EDT Friday to 2 AM EDT Saturday - .05 inches of rain will fall

- 2 AM EDT Saturday to 8 AM EDT Saturday - .20 inches of rain will fall

- 8 AM EDT Saturday to 2 PM EDT Saturday - .35 inches of rain will fall
(Poker Run Start Time is 11 AM EDT OR 10 AM CDT (State Dock Time)

- 2 PM EDT Saturday to 8 PM EDT Saturday - .30 inches of rain will fall

Total Rainfall between 8 PM Friday and 8 PM Saturday - .9 or approximately 1 inch.

I sure hope the drivers and passengers in those "Go Fasts" wear some type of
protective clothing and goggles or full face shield.
Those rain drops are going to hurt at 100+ MPH.

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[*] posted on 9-9-2010 at 06:25 PM


I hope AccuWeather is more accurate. It says rain Sat Eve.
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[*] posted on 9-9-2010 at 07:33 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Randy
I hope AccuWeather is more accurate. It says rain Sat Eve.


- Eve = before Saturday OR
- Eve = Saturday Evening
? ? ? ?

I believe I've said the same thing.

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind around 6 mph. New rainfall amounts between a
tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near
86. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in
thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low
around 65.

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[*] posted on 9-9-2010 at 08:05 PM


Evening.... To me, this means no rain untill evening.
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[*] posted on 9-9-2010 at 08:18 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Randy
Evening.... To me, this means no rain untill evening.


O.K.
But, the NWS is saying we will see rain Friday through Saturday evening. Probably not continuously.
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